Evaluating Alternative Indonesian Sea-Sovereignty Systems

Evaluating Alternative Indonesian Sea-Sovereignty Systems
An Exercise in Soft Technology Transfer
Russell Rhyne

This intriguing sea-control project was the first major study of any kind by the operational analysis establishment and at the time, no other team of analysts, outside the US, had undertaken a study of such tremendous scope. It dealt explicitly with the subjective aspects of a politico-military mission that required several innovations. The study made use of little-known methods of futures projection to compose patterned contexts as backdrops for intra-analytical judgments; it used psychometric scaling to get value weightings on the importance of partial accomplishments of component missions; it developed an apparently sound method for designating the plausible threat. Above all, it wove these component techniques together within a coherent plan of work.