Decision Analysis Publication Award

2025 Winner(s)

Winning material: Incentive-compatible Forecasting Competitions

Purpose of the Award

The Decision Analysis Society Publication Award is given annually to the best decision analysis journal article or book published in the second preceding calendar year, as judged by an award committee. 

For more information about eligibility, procedures, and deadlines.

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Past Awardees

2025
Winner(s)
Rupert Freeman, Darden School of Business, University of Virginia
Andreas Krause, ETH Zurich, Zurich
David M. Pennock, Rutgers University, New Jersey
Jennifer W. Vaughan, Microsoft Research, New York
Jens Witkowski, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, Frankfurt
Runner-Up
Asa Palley
Ville Satopaa, INSEAD
Finalist
Songfa Zhong , National University of Singapore
Tracy X. Liu , Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
Yiting Chen , Lingnan University
You Shan , Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
Saurabh Bansal
Wen Chen, Providence Business School, Rhode Island
Ying He, University of Southern Denmark
2024
Winner(s)
Simon French
Finalist
Eric Bickel, University of Texas
Celia Gaertig, Booth School of Business, University of Chicago
Robert Mislavsky, Carey Business School, Johns Hopkins University
Zachary J. Smith, UT Austin
2023
Winner(s)
Ying He
Finalist
Pavel Atanasov, IE Business School
Lawrence Blume, Cornell University
David V. Budescu, Fordham University
David Easley, Cornell University
Joseph Y. Halpern, Cornell University
Mark Himmelstein, Fordham University
2022
Winner(s)
Saurabh Bansal
Genaro J. Gutierrez
Finalist
Chris Donkin, University of New South Wales
Ashley Luckman, University of Exeter
Ben R. Newell, University of New South Wales
Ilia Tsetlin, Duke University
Sasa Zorc
2021
Winner(s)
Asa Palley
Jack Soll
Finalist
David V. Budescu, Fordham University
Yuyu Fan, AllianceBernstein LP
Yael S. Grushka-Cockayne, University of Virginia
Mark Himmelstein, Fordham University
Victor Richmond R. Jose, Georgetown University
Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr
David Mandel, Toronto Research Centre
Robert L. Winkler, Duke University
2020
Winner(s)
Eva Regnier, Naval Postgraduate School
Finalist
Berkeley J. Dietvorst, University of Chicago Booth School of Business
Cade Massey, University of Chicago
Joseph P. Simmons, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania
2019
Winner(s)
Yael S. Grushka-Cockayne, University of Virginia
Victor Richmond R. Jose, Georgetown University
Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr
Finalist
Loïc Berger, IESEG School of Management and RFF-CMCC European Institute on Economics and the Environment (EIEE)
Johannes Emmerling, RFF-CMCC European Institute on Economics and the Environment (EIEE)
Alfred Müller, University of Siegen
Marco Scarsini, LUISS
Massimo Tavoni, Politecnico di Milan
Ilia Tsetlin, Duke University
Robert L. Winkler, Duke University
2018
Winner(s)
Craig R. Fox, University of California - Los Angeles
Bertram F. Malle, Brown University
Gülden Ülkümen, University of Southern California
Finalist
Alex Imas, Carnegie Mellon University
2017
Winner(s)
Adam Harris
Stian Reimers
Neil Stewart
Finalist
Debarun Bhattacharjya, IBM T.J. Watson Research Center
Jo Eidsvik, Norwegian University of Science and Technology
Tapan Mukerji, Stanford University
2016
Winner(s)
Amit Kothiyal
Vitalie Spinu
Peter P. Wakker, Erasmus University
Finalist
José Rui Figueira
Nikolaos Argyris
Richard Larrick
Albert E. Mannes
Alec Morton, University of Strathclyde
Jack Soll
2015
Winner(s)
David B. Brown, Duke University
James E. Smith, Duke University
Finalist
Yael Grushka-Cockayne, Darden School of Business, University of Virginia
Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr.
Phillip Pfeifer
Jeff Stonebraker, Bayer Biological Products
2014
First Place
Manel Baucells, IESE Business School, Barcelona
Rakesh Sarin, University of California - Los Angeles
Finalist
Manel Baucells, IESE Business School, Barcelona
Samuel E. Bodily, University of Virginia, Darden Graduate School of Business
Franz H. Heukamp, IESE Business School, Barcelona
Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr
2013
First Place
Jeff Keisler, University of Massachusetts-Boston
Alec Morton, University of Strathclyde
Ahti Salo, Aalto University
Finalist
Ali E. Abbas
David E. Bell, Harvard University
2012
First Place
Kurt A. Carlson , Georgetown University
Samuel D. Bond , Georgia Institute of Technology
Ralph L. Keeney, USC
Finalist
Christopher M. Smith
Gregory S. Parnell
Samuel E. Bodily, University of Virginia, Darden Graduate School of Business
Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr.
Frederick I. Moxley
2011
First Place
Ali Abbas, Department of Industrial and Systems
James E. Matheson, SmartOrg Inc.
2010
First Place
Alex B. Markle, New York University
George Wu, University of Chicago
2009
First Place
Mohammed Abdellaoui, CNRS France
Han Bleichrodt, IMTA Erasmus University
Corina Paraschiv
Finalist
Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr. , Darden School of Business
Robert L. Winkler, Duke University
2008
First Place
Louis Eeckhoudt
Harris Schlesinger
Finalist
Fabio Maccheroni
Massimo Marinacci, Universita de Torino
Aldo Rustichini
Henry P. Stott
2007
First Place
Robert T. Clemen, Duke University
Craig R. Fox, University of California - Los Angeles
2006
First Place
Robert F. Bordley, Professor of Engineering Practice and director of the Systems Engineering and Design Program within the Integrative Sciences Division in the College of Engineering, at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor
Craig W. Kirkwood, Dept. of Supply Chain Management, Arizona State University
2005
First Place
Daniel Kahneman, Princeton University
2004
First Place
Richard M. Anderson, Duke University
Benjamin F. Hobbs, Johns Hopkins University
2003
First Place
Han Bleichrodt, Erasmus University
Jose Luis Pinto
Peter P. Wakker, Erasmus University
2002
First Place
Sylvia J.T. Jansen
Job Kievit
Marianne A. Nooij
Evert M. Noordijk
Anne M. Stiggelbout
Peter P. Wakker, Erasmus University
2001
First Place
John S. Hammond, John S Hammond Associates
Ralph L. Keeney, USC
Howard Raiffa, Harvard University, Graduate School of Business Administration
2000
First Place
James E. Smith, Duke University
1999
First Place
Richard A. Milliman
Elke U. Weber, Columbia University Business School
1998
First Place
Gordon Hazen, Northwestern University
James Pellesier
1997
First Place
Robert F. Nau, Duke University
James E. Smith, Duke University
1996
First Place
Elisabeth Paté-Cornell , Stanford University
Paul S. Fischbeck, Carnegie Mellon University
1995
First Place
James E. Smith, Duke University
1994
First Place
Ralph L. Keeney, USC
1993
First Place
Robert T. Clemen, Duke University
1992
First Place
Robert T. Clemen, Duke University
Robert L. Winkler, Duke University
1991
First Place
Peter C. Fishburn
Irving H. LaValle, Tulane University
1990
First Place
Ross Shachter, Stanford University